The formula or algorithm of calculating FPL price changes is not public. But in a general view, in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), the prices of players fluctuate throughout the season.
While this may be a confusing aspect of the game, gaining an understanding of the factors involved in price changes can provide a significant advantage.
This blog post will explain what causes FPL price changes, how they affect your team, and how you can use them to your advantage.
What causes FPL price changes?
The main factor that causes FPL player prices to change is ownership.
When more managers buy a player, the price goes up. Conversely, when managers transfer out a player, the price goes down. This is because supply and demand play a crucial role in FPL.
Why did Haaland’s price fall only 0.1 when transferred out by 3 million managers, but it rose 0.3 when transferred in by 1 million managers?
You will see scenarios like this over and over again in a season. Ownership is a crucial factor in a player’s price change, but it is not the only one. Some possible reasons behind these kind of prices change might be:
- Timing and Data Mismatch: Price changes in FPL occur daily, and transfers happen throughout the day. It’s unlikely that 3 million managers transferred Haaland out at the same time on a single day. Similarly, 1 million transfers in wouldn’t necessarily cause an immediate 0.3 rise.
- Algorithm Complexity: Price changes are determined by an algorithm that considers various factors beyond just net transfers in/out. Factors like overall ownership percentage, recent performance, upcoming fixtures, and general player popularity all play a role.
- Limited Information: Without specific dates and exact ownership numbers, it’s impossible to pinpoint the exact cause of the specific price changes.
How do price changes affect your team?
FPL price changes can affect your team in a number of ways.
Firstly, they can influence your team value. If you have players whose prices are rising, your team value will increase. Conversely, if you have players whose prices are falling, your team value will decrease.
Second, price changes can affect your ability to make transfers.
If you want to sell a player whose price has risen, you will make a profit. However, if you want to buy a player whose price has risen, you will need to spend more money.
Finally, price changes can give you an indication of which players are in form and which players are out of form.
Players with rising prices are usually in good form, while those with falling prices are typically in poor form.
How to use price changes to your advantage?
There are a few ways you can use FPL price changes to your advantage:
- Buy players before their price rises: This is the most common way to profit from price changes. If you can identify players who are likely to see their price increase, you can buy them before their price goes up and then sell them later for a profit.
- Sell players before their price falls: If you have a player whose price is likely to fall, it is best to sell them as soon as possible to avoid making a loss.
- Use Wildcards strategically: Wildcards allow you to make unlimited transfers in a single gameweek without getting a points hit. This can be helpful when you want to take advantage of price changes, such as buying a player whose price is about to increase.
Understanding how FPL price changes work allows you to make more informed decisions about your team and enhances your chances of success in the game.
